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<Foresight>G Sachs, M Stanley Expect HSBC HOLDINGS 1Q Reported Profit to Drop 25%+, Estimate Shr Buyback Plan of US$2.5-3B
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HSBC HOLDINGS (00005.HK) has snowballed over 34% in total YTD, and returned to the $100 mark yesterday. The Group will announce its interim results next Wednesday (30th), reflecting factors such as the low-interest environment and accounting for the sale of its Canadian and Argentine businesses in the same period last year.

Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs expected HSBC HOLDINGS' 1H25 reported profit to be between US$16.04 billion and US$16.073 billion, down 25.4% and 25.6% YoY from the reported profit of US$21.556 billion in the same period of 2024.

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HSBC HOLDINGS is expected to pay a dividend of US$10 cents per ordinary share in 2Q25, according to 3 brokers' anticipations as summarized by our reporters. Four brokers estimated HSBC HOLDINGS to announce a share buyback plan ranging from US$2.5 billion to US$3 billion, with a median of US$2.75 billion.

Investors will focus on the latest operational guidance (annual revenue, credit growth and the impact of US tariffs on business), dividend and share buyback plans from HSBC HOLDINGS' management.

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Related NewsBrokers' Ratings, TPs on HSBC HOLDINGS (Table) (Update)
Broker│1H25 Reported Profit Forecast│ YoY Change
Goldman Sachs│US$16.073 billion│-25.4%
Morgan Stanley│US$16.04 billion│-25.6%
Calculated based on the Company's reported profit for the same period last year of US$21.556 billion.

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Broker│ Share Buyback Plan Forecast
Goldman Sachs│US$3 billion
JPMorgan│US$3 billion
Morgan Stanley│US$2.5 billion
UBS│US$2.5 billion
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Related NewsJPM: STANCHART 2Q Growth to Be More Resilient than HSBC HOLDINGS; Ratings Kept at Overweight
Broker│2Q25 Dividend Per Ordinary Share Forecast│ YoY Change
Morgan Stanley│US$0.1│Flat
UBS│US$0.1│Flat
Goldman Sachs│US$0.1│Flat
Calculated based on the company's dividend of US$0.1 per ordinary share for the same period last year.
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